Well I couldn't wait, ended up driving out to a near by larger pike lake and fished on a solid 1-2in of ice depending on the hole for an hour, lol. Its almost like there was no ice. After a rather enthusiastic hook set on the tip-up after my first bite of the year, and hearing the ice start shattering and water flooding around the hole, I decided that was enough for this outing
Sketchy. But the bug is out so I can chill now until we have real ice, in hopefully a few days