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  #61  
Old 06-04-2020, 04:16 PM
59whiskers 59whiskers is offline
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: South West Alberta
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Thanks for all the feed back on my post, it was honest/good.
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  #62  
Old 06-04-2020, 04:25 PM
fishpro fishpro is online now
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: NW Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Glion View Post
Lol yeah had 6000 cases at peak vs the 800,000 that the models said. Social distancing must be a freakin miracle. Or maybe the models were wayyyyyy out to lunch
I'm going to lean towards the social distancing on this one. If you look at the time of rapid growth in Alberta starting around when social distancing started to when our curve started to level off, March 14 to May 1, we can see that on March 14 there were 53 cases, on May 1 there were 5491 cases total, for approximately a 100x increase. If we hadn't social distanced and had double the social interaction / opportunity to be infected (I think it's fair to say our interaction decreased by at least 50%), it would have spread at twice the rate. With exponential growth, this would equate to a 100*100=10,000x increase, resulting in approximately 500,000 cases by May 1. It could have gotten very out of control very quickly.
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  #63  
Old 06-20-2020, 11:15 AM
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Ken07AOVette Ken07AOVette is offline
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Alberta
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Got my hair cut yesterday, she said that she and 3 in her family caught it. Figures they contracted it in (to/from) Mexico

Great.
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Originally Posted by Twisted Canuck
I wasn't thinking far enough ahead for an outcome, I was ranting. By definition, a rant doesn't imply much forethought.....
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  #64  
Old 06-20-2020, 11:37 AM
FellSwoop FellSwoop is offline
 
Join Date: Jun 2015
Location: Calgary SW
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My wife's grandmother in Quebec. She made it to day 17 before passing, fought it hard. She was 102.
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  #65  
Old 06-20-2020, 12:03 PM
270person 270person is offline
 
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Edmonton
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigJon View Post
No one is denying there is nasty cold bug out an about. Most the people on this forum that shake their head about it are critical about the hysterical response to a nasty cold bug.


450,00+ ppl die of colds worldwide in 6 months?
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